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The interplay between economic development … The interplay between economic development and climate change exerts countervailing effects on human wellbeing, particularly concerning temperature-related mortality. While economic growth may enhance adaptive capacity and healthcare access, climate change intensifies extreme heat events, posing significant health risks. Carleton et al. (2022) and Barrage (2024) have quantified the effects of climate change and income growth on temperature-related mortality, providing insights into future health trajectories. To discern when climate change impacts on mortality become distinguishable from natural variability, this study introduces the concept of Time of Emergence (ToE). By identifying the ToE, this research – one of the first to apply ToE analysis to climate impacts rather than climate hazards – assesses the moment when climate-induced mortality becomes detectable beyond natural fluctuations, offering insights into the timing and magnitude of extreme-temperature impacts. The findings unveil that in warm regions, climate change may impede or nullify the reductions in temperature-related mortality typically driven by development, underscoring the urgency for targeted adaptation measures and policy interventions to mitigate health risks associated with climate change.alth risks associated with climate change. +
Time of Emergence Analysis for Extreme Temperature-Related Mortality +
New Brunswick +
United States +
dtb96@scarletmail.rutgers.edu +
Daniel +
Rutgers University +
Blanco +
Image: +
1) Solving the sea level equation +
1) Fora.ai: A participatory modeling platform to reshape how we collaborate for climate and social impact +
1) Using Fill-Spill-Merge to understand and analyze landscape depressions +
New Jersey +
United States +
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19:11:26, 1 April 2024 +
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19:11:26, 1 April 2024 +
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