Future Sediment Flux of the Ganges River
Still, the lowlands of the Ganges-Brahmaputra Delta are considered one of the regions most at risk from climate change, and particularly from sea level rise. About 75 million people live in the GB coastal zone (defined as the region <10 m.a.s.l). It is thought that the impact of relative sea-level change will be profound in Bangladesh where 32% of the country is already affected by tides, salinization, and cyclones/storm surges. At the same time, the Ganges-Brahmaputra river system drains tremendous amounts of sediment (sand, silt and clay) from its steep Himalayan hinterland. We ask: how does this amount of sediment change with a changing monsoonal climate? Does this sediment aggrade fast enough to help counteract rapid sea-level rise?
This lab replicates and improves upon simulations originally run by Frances Dunn and Stephen Darby, reported in Darby et al. 2015. This simulation is driven by climate predictions (daily temperature and precipitation) obtained from the Hadley Centre (HadRM3P) Regional Climate Model. The Q0 realization is utilized in this lab.
This lab can be run on either the lab (for educators) or jupyter (for general use) instance of the OpenEarthscape JupyterHub: just click one of the links under the Run online using heading at the top of this page, then run the notebook in the "CSDMS" kernel.
If you don't already have a JupyterHub account, follow the instructions to sign up at https://csdms.colorado.edu/wiki/JupyterHub. If you're an educator, you can get JupyterHub accounts for students--please contact us through the CSDMS Help Desk: https://csdms.github.io/help-desk.
- Use pymt to run the HydroTrend model
- Become familiar with a basic configuration of the HydroTrend model`
- Make small changes to key input parameters in HydroTrend
- Gain hands-on experience with visualizing output in Python
- Simulation of discharge for the Ganges River
- Simulation of suspended sediment discharge for the Ganges River
- Explore mean annual water discharge trends through time
>> Open a new browser window and go to: https://pymt.readthedocs.io/en/latest/examples.html
>> You will see that there are several example models. In this lab we will select the HydroTrend model.
>> Click on the "Launch Binder" button to run this lab.
Note that Binder is a free and popular service for running Jupyter Notebooks, so it can be slow to load at times.The HydroTrend model is run with the Python Modeling Tool, pymt. Learn more about pymt at: https://pymt.readthedocs.io.
If you downloaded this lab to your computer, you'll need addtional data files. Download them with: https://downgit.github.io/#/home?url=https://github.com/csdms/pymt/tree/master/notebooks/Ganges. Also, if run locally, this lab requires the installtion of pymt; see https://pymt.readthedocs.io/en/latest/quickstart.html for instructions. This lab runs on Linux and macOS.
This material is based upon work supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant No. 1831623, Community Facility Support: The Community Surface Dynamics Modeling System (CSDMS).
- Kettner, A.J., and Syvitski, J.P.M., 2008. HydroTrend version 3.0: a Climate-Driven Hydrological Transport Model that Simulates Discharge and Sediment Load leaving a River System. Computers & Geosciences, 34(10), 1170-1183. doi: 10.1016/j.cageo.2008.02.008
- Darby, S. E., Dunn, F. E., Nicholls, R.J., Rahman, M. and Riddy, L. 2015. A first look at the influence of anthropogenic climate change on the future delivery of fluvial sediment to the Ganges–Brahmaputra–Meghna delta. Environmental Science: Processes & Impacts. doi:10.1039/c5em00252d